View single post by KGB
 Posted: Thu Mar 26th, 2020 01:48 pm
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Joined: Wed Jul 4th, 2012
Posts: 1249
Here are numbers from Australia as of the afternoon of 3/26.
178,000 people have been tested (note:: we are only testing those who may have been exposed – i.e. the testing cohort will have a larger number of positive reports than if we tested the general population)
Thus far:

2799 have tested positive

11 have died (all had serious underlying medical conditions before contracting the virus)

Infection rate of those tested is 1.57%

Death rate of those tested positive is 0.393%

Fatality rate per 100,000 of Aussie population .0477

These numbers do not indicate to me support for the current economic destruction that we are currently embarking upon.

For reference
Road deaths in Australia for last month (Feb 2020) 92
Road deaths in past 12 months 1163
Annual fatality rate for road deaths in 2019 was 4.6 per 100,000 of population. (compare to 0.0477 above)

2017 flu death rate in Australia 3.9 per 100,000 persons . (compare to 0.0477 above)

2019 flu death rate in Australia 3.0 per 100,000 persons. . (compare to 0.0477 above)

Although it is estimated that the actual rate is much higher, as one source suggests a death rate from flu annually to be about 12 per 100,000 in the over 50 age group.

Italy is currently Covid-19 central with lots of deaths which is sad.
BUT Lets be cautious and not claim that everyone who tests positively for COVID-19 after death died FROM the disease. They may very well have died WITH the disease. There is a difference and it matters.