You are pretty much spot on every time you post something New Japan related, but wasn't AJ Styles in the exact same position a couple years back where we all thought there was no shot he could enter the Rumble based on his contract running through January? Then AJ showed up. It makes me wonder if that 1/31 date that keeps getting thrown out there is done for that reason. Kenny Omega was extremely unhappy with WWE a dozen years ago when he was in Deep South, so if he never shows up I would not be surprised. But if he turns down the rumored contract he's been offered to work for AEW, he'd better be getting a title like Cody and Brandi have so that he's not only making money as a talent but also as an executive.
Gedo took the belt off of him because he was unsure about Omega's status. Omega's contract runs until Jan 31st, so there's no way for a possible Royal Rumble surprise.
A.J's contract was up right after Wrestle Kingdom which let him debut at the Royal Rumble. From what I've heard, Omega has been offered a "massive" contract with deals involving gaming ( his passion). Xavier Woods being with the "E", is a big factor for him to join, as they both play video games online against each other and have written columns together for several years. Omega would have a lot more power then he did when he was in Deep South.